Severe weather alert Ireland and UK – Is their analysis reasonable?

I was just reading this weather article and wondering if the analysis was reasonable. The author states that:

“This will be a major winter weather onslaught and not just a drop in temperatures with a few local flurries.

This is like turning the eastern Atlantic into the Great Lakes, almost, when you have this much cold air rushing south this fast, it overcomes the normal tendencies of the Atlantic to modify air masses and turn streamers to mush. This setup could give blizzard like conditions even with winds somewhat west of due north, in many parts of Ireland. And we aren’t that confident that the setup is perfectly modelled yet, what’s probably equally likely at this point is that the polar low will drop into the North Sea and pull Siberian air across into the N-NE flow on following days. There is also a lot of super-cold air waiting to head west from central to northwest Russia and around Novaya Zemlya.

When this polar hurricane develops, winds are going to be 50-70 knots around Jan Mayen (volcanic island 1000 km west of Norway, 600 km north of Iceland) with temperatures of -12 C … the ice margin will probably shift south in this period to reach limits not seen in recent years, and the Baltic Sea is rapidly freezing and spilling out 0-2 C water into the North Sea.

All of these factors are building blocks towards what may become an epochal cold spell for Ireland and Britain in the next 20-30 day interval.”

Is anyone here qualified to confirm/debunk?

Severe weather alert Ireland and UK – Is their analysis reasonable?

3 thoughts on “Severe weather alert Ireland and UK – Is their analysis reasonable?

  1. I am no expert but I do know this forecast is the common consensus amongst weather experts out there including accuweather.com’s Joe Bastardi.Watch this space I guess.

  2. Well Andy,Joe Bastardi is a renowned long range meteoroligist and usually sticks his head out before anyone else.Met Eireann are as conservative as they come,usually predicitng weather as it happens.At any rate I hope it aint as bad as predicted.

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